Political Expert – Elections Forecasting, Political Risk

Weekday (YC W21)

. Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff .

Posted 9/18/2026part-timeRemote • United StatesSeniorLead💰 $150 - $250 per hourWebsite

Core Competencies

Role fit

Core Competencies

Use this summary to align your resume positioning with the role.

Demonstrates expertise in political forecasting, polling analysis, and causal event evaluation, with a strong ability to make real-time judgments based on evidence. Possesses extensive experience in statistical methodologies and political risk analysis.

Highest-signal resume keywords

Political ForecastingPolling LiteracyCausal Event AnalysisStatistical Methodology ExpertiseLive Judgment Making

ATS Keywords

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Applicant Tracking System Keywords

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Hard Skills

Political ReportingMarket-Implied Odds AnalysisPolling AnalysisModel-Generated Analysis ReviewDirectional Judgment Documentation

Soft Skills

Analytical ThinkingCritical ReasoningCommunication Skills

Industry Keywords

Political Risk AnalysisElections ForecastingCampaign StrategyWin ProbabilitiesEvidence Cutoff Reasoning

About the role

Key responsibilities & impact

Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff
Make and document directional judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds
Explain the causal mechanism behind an event’s expected political and market impact
Review model-generated analyses and grade them against an expert standard

Requirements

What you’ll need

Senior elections forecaster, campaign strategist, polling or statistical-methodology expert, or political-risk analyst
Record of making live judgments about polling, win probabilities, or odds—not retrospective commentary
Strong polling literacy and causal event analysis
Typically 8+ years of direct experience, or unusually strong evidence of equivalent performance
Direct experience and performance on the work sample determine qualification; brand-name experience is not a hard requirement
Must reason from the stated evidence cutoff without hindsight, data leakage, confidential information, or material non-public information